Why De-dollarisation Could Make Gold the Standout Commodity in a Changing Trade System

| September 12 | Spotlight
De-dollarisation, US Dollar, Gold, Gold Prices, BRICS, Global Trade, Commodity Markets, Local Currency Trade, Reserve Diversification, Central Banks, US Dollar Dominance, International Trade, India, Rupee, Global Economy, Emerging Economies

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For decades, the US dollar has been at the centre of international trade, financial markets and commodity transactions. Oil, natural gas, gold, industrial metals and agricultural products are among the major commodities commonly priced and traded in dollars.

That position is now facing a gradual challenge as countries explore ways to reduce their reliance on the US currency. The shift, commonly described as de-dollarisation, involves greater use of local currencies in cross-border trade, diversification of foreign exchange reserves and the development of alternative payment arrangements.

The trend has received renewed attention among BRICS nations and other emerging economies. However, de-dollarisation does not necessarily mean that countries are preparing to abandon the dollar altogether. Instead, it points towards a broader effort to reduce dependence on a single currency.

Why Countries Are Looking Beyond the Dollar

For countries involved heavily in international trade, dependence on one currency can create exposure to exchange-rate movements and dollar shortages. Local-currency arrangements can provide another option for settling bilateral trade and may reduce some transaction and hedging costs.

Financial independence is another factor behind the push for diversification. Countries that rely heavily on the dollar-based financial system can be affected by international financial restrictions, sanctions and monetary decisions made outside their borders.

Central banks have also been diversifying their reserves by holding a combination of currencies and gold. This has strengthened interest in assets that can serve as reserve holdings without being directly tied to the monetary policy of another country.

What It Could Mean for Commodity Markets

A wider use of local currencies could change how some commodity transactions are settled. For importing countries, the ability to conduct trade in domestic currencies could reduce some exposure to movements in the dollar.

But the transition also presents challenges.

The dollar currently provides a common pricing and settlement mechanism across much of global commodity trade. Greater use of several currencies could make transactions more complex and introduce additional currency risks.

Instead of one widely used settlement currency, buyers and sellers could increasingly have to manage different exchange rates and payment arrangements. That could contribute to greater fragmentation in commodity markets.

The impact, therefore, is unlikely to be identical across commodities.

Gold Could Stand Apart

Gold has a different position from many other commodities because it also serves as a reserve asset.

Central-bank demand has remained significant in recent years. The World Gold Council recorded central-bank gold purchases of 1,136 tonnes in 2022, followed by 1,051 tonnes in 2023 and 1,045 tonnes in 2024. Purchases stood at 863 tonnes in 2025, still well above the long-term annual average of 473 tonnes recorded between 2010 and 2021.

This sustained buying has added to gold’s importance in discussions around reserve diversification.

If countries continue to diversify away from dollar-denominated assets, gold could remain an important part of that strategy. Unlike a national currency, gold is not issued by a government and is not directly linked to the monetary policy of any single country.

That does not make gold immune to market movements, but it gives the metal a distinctive role in a monetary system where countries are seeking greater diversification.

Can the Dollar Really Be Replaced?

A complete replacement of the US dollar does not appear imminent.

The dollar continues to benefit from the scale of the US economy, the depth of American financial markets and international confidence in US assets. These factors give it a position that would be difficult for another currency or payment system to replicate quickly.

The more realistic possibility is a gradual reduction in its relative dominance.

If more countries use local currencies for bilateral trade and continue diversifying their reserves, international commerce could become more multi-currency over time. Such a transition would not necessarily eliminate the dollar from global trade, but it could reduce its share of certain transactions.

For commodity markets, that could mean a gradual change in the relationship between dollar movements, commodity pricing and international capital flows.

India’s Balanced Approach

India has taken a measured approach to the issue. It supports the use of the rupee in bilateral trade and encourages local-currency settlements where they are practical.

At the same time, India has not positioned its approach as an effort to replace the US dollar. Its strategy focuses more on reducing transaction costs, improving trade efficiency and strengthening financial resilience while maintaining access to international financial markets.

This approach reflects India’s economic links with both the United States and emerging economies.

A Gradual Shift, Not an Overnight Change

De-dollarisation is better understood as a gradual diversification of the global monetary system rather than an immediate attempt to replace the US dollar.

The dollar is likely to remain an important part of international trade and commodity markets, but increased use of local currencies could slowly change the way some cross-border transactions are conducted.

For commodities, the effects could be mixed. Multiple currencies may create additional complexity and volatility, while gold could continue to benefit from its role as a reserve asset.

The bigger change may therefore not be the disappearance of the dollar, but the emergence of a global trading system in which countries have more alternatives to relying on it.

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